This blog has not endorsed too many primary candidates although I do prefer Bob Smith to RINO Scott Brown.
Because it was not as close as some thought it would be (according to the polls) I have not had a lot to say about Mitch McConnell vs. Matt Bevin. I have differences with Mitch but I can summarize him in two words: good enough. Glenn Beck gets all gushy about Matt Bevin but I don't share his enthusiasm. Rand II? Not sure about that.
In Georgia, I am happy to see Saxby Chambliss retire. I don't have time to assess the field of GOP candidates and there is almost certainly going to be a run-off. Meantime, The Dems are reaching into their Royal Family playbook. Michelle Nunn will probably be their nominee. In another country Nunn would be called a duchess of a baroness or something else that would emphasize her lineage. I will always be amazed that people who sincerely renounce privilege and inequality goose step behind a political party devoted to the advancement of inherited privilege and inequality.
Oregon is heating up where the doctor candidate has been accused of spousal abuse and stalking. Arkansas is a done deal for both the Senate and Governor races.
I don't expect a lot of surprises today.
Showing posts with label 2014 Senate Elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2014 Senate Elections. Show all posts
Tuesday, May 20, 2014
Wednesday, April 16, 2014
Reading Between The Lines: Alex Sink Will Not Seek Rematch
To review, Democrat Alex Sink lost a special election to Republican David Jolly for the seat of deceased Congressman Bill Young earlier this year. Earlier this week, Alex Sink announced that she will not be a candidate in the general election in November.
Sink was considered a rising star and a seasoned campaigner with a more than adequate war chest. Jolly was a behind the scenes guy who arrived with a lot of question marks. In most places, in most times, Sink would have crushed Jolly. Of course, these are unusual times. The toxicity of Obamacare has given every Democrat an Achilles Heel.
Will 2014 be another shellacking? It could be, but never underestimate the Republican capacity to lose to terrible candidates (Obama 2012 for instance.) Nate Silver has handicapped the Senate races as 7 GOP wins plus or minus 5. I have to agree with Mr. 538. The country is up for grabs,
Sink was considered a rising star and a seasoned campaigner with a more than adequate war chest. Jolly was a behind the scenes guy who arrived with a lot of question marks. In most places, in most times, Sink would have crushed Jolly. Of course, these are unusual times. The toxicity of Obamacare has given every Democrat an Achilles Heel.
Will 2014 be another shellacking? It could be, but never underestimate the Republican capacity to lose to terrible candidates (Obama 2012 for instance.) Nate Silver has handicapped the Senate races as 7 GOP wins plus or minus 5. I have to agree with Mr. 538. The country is up for grabs,
Wednesday, March 19, 2014
Run Sarah Run
Senator Palin has a nice ring to it, doesn't it? If Sarah were Senator, her sound bites would annoy the political class to no end. The Mike Barnicles would be subjected to condemnations of hopey changey stuff on a nightly basis. Ahhh, is there a symphony so sweet?
Larry Sabato has the Alaska Senate election as a toss-up. How the hell does that happen? The Democrats used extreme prosecutorial misconduct to run Ted Stevens out of office. This scandal makes other abuses of power look tame by comparison. Won't the citizens of Alaska remember the villainous manner in which Mark Begich assumed office?
The citizenry probably would remember if they were not once more presented with weak GOP alternatives. Sarah Palin would change all of that. Run Sarah, run!
Larry Sabato has the Alaska Senate election as a toss-up. How the hell does that happen? The Democrats used extreme prosecutorial misconduct to run Ted Stevens out of office. This scandal makes other abuses of power look tame by comparison. Won't the citizens of Alaska remember the villainous manner in which Mark Begich assumed office?
The citizenry probably would remember if they were not once more presented with weak GOP alternatives. Sarah Palin would change all of that. Run Sarah, run!
Sunday, October 27, 2013
2014 Senate Elections
Usual disclaimer. I am not a Republican but I usually vote that way because the GOP has established itself as the party of lesser evil. They send us slowly over the real fiscal cliff as they advocate for a slower death spiral and truth is, they are not as evil as the Democrats vintage 2008-2013. Voter fraud is overwhelmingly a Democratic pursuit. So too is using the DOJ or the IRS to shake down donors and to punish the non-compliant.
If Reince Priebus fails to take the Senate in 2014, he needs to be fired. No more General McClellans. I do not hold to the defeatist viewpoint that the Udalls and Shaheens are untouchable. I don't buy it.
The Democrats are vulnerable in seven states and at least seven more are shaky. There are a couple more that are long shots but are by no means done deals.
First, the vulnerable.
Alaska. Mark Begich.
Arkansas. Marl Pryor.
Louisiana. Mary Landrieu.
Montana. Max Baucus's vacating seat.
North Carolina. Kay Hagan.
South Dakota. Tim Johnson's vacating seat.
West Virginia. Jay Rockefeller's vacating seat.
If Priebus loses any of these, chop chop.
The shaky (if not vulnerable) seats.
Colorado
Iowa
Michigan
Minnesota
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
Comments on the seven shaky if not vulnerable states.
Colorado. A state that recalls gun grabbers and dislikes Obamacare could be a happy hunting ground in an off-year election.
Iowa: It would be nice if Steve King stepped up but no matter who runs, this seat is available for the taking.
Michigan: Carl Levin is retiring. Michigan is a purple state that is trending red. They have a GOP governor and the bankruptcy of Detroit after decades of Dem mismanagement should send a chill through this frigid land. Low hanging fruit.
Minnesota: Franken should probably be downgraded to vulnerable. He had to steal the election in 2008 against a weak candidate in a blue state that was going goo goo for their new deity, Barack Obama. If the GOP runs a good candidate who sticks to the issues, Franken will be going back to Hollywood.
New Hampshire. New Hampshire has gone purple due to widespread voter fraud. Fraudsters from Vermont, Maine, Massachusetts and elsewhere pour in on election day where they take advantage of same day registration (after voting in their home states earlier in the day.) As well, students who cast absentee ballots in their home state ate recruited to vote in New Hampshire. I used to like Jeanne Shaheen but the NH Dems are as corrupt as the Chicago machine.
This is an uphill battle but it is well worth waging.
New Jersey. I am not a big Christie fan but I think he could beat Booker. This assumes that Christie wins his gubernatorial election and then decides help his party. More likely, he will want to be Corey's special buddy.
New Mexico. Run Gary Johnson, the two-time governor. He could win but the GOP establishment would rather lose to Dems than embrace a Libertarian.
Outside chances:
Delaware
Hawaii
Massachusetts
Oregon
Delaware. If the GOP runs O'Donnell, Chris Coons will be re-elected. Anyone else has a fighting chance.
Hawaii. If Charles Djou runs, this seat is in play.
Massachusetts. Markey is vulnerable. The problem is the GOP has no bench in this state. Their strongest candidate, Charlie Baker, will be running for governor. Gabriel Gomez was a joke of a candidate in the special election--so much so that Boston talk radio middleweight Michael Graham refused to mention him by name--but he was able to keep it close.
Oregon. Jeff Merkley is not a particularly strong candidate. But like Delaware, Hawaii and Massachusetts, the GOP has no bench.
This is do or die for Priebus. He blew 2012 but now he is given another chance. Let's hope he makes the most of it.
If Reince Priebus fails to take the Senate in 2014, he needs to be fired. No more General McClellans. I do not hold to the defeatist viewpoint that the Udalls and Shaheens are untouchable. I don't buy it.
The Democrats are vulnerable in seven states and at least seven more are shaky. There are a couple more that are long shots but are by no means done deals.
First, the vulnerable.
Alaska. Mark Begich.
Arkansas. Marl Pryor.
Louisiana. Mary Landrieu.
Montana. Max Baucus's vacating seat.
North Carolina. Kay Hagan.
South Dakota. Tim Johnson's vacating seat.
West Virginia. Jay Rockefeller's vacating seat.
If Priebus loses any of these, chop chop.
The shaky (if not vulnerable) seats.
Colorado
Iowa
Michigan
Minnesota
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
Comments on the seven shaky if not vulnerable states.
Colorado. A state that recalls gun grabbers and dislikes Obamacare could be a happy hunting ground in an off-year election.
Iowa: It would be nice if Steve King stepped up but no matter who runs, this seat is available for the taking.
Michigan: Carl Levin is retiring. Michigan is a purple state that is trending red. They have a GOP governor and the bankruptcy of Detroit after decades of Dem mismanagement should send a chill through this frigid land. Low hanging fruit.
Minnesota: Franken should probably be downgraded to vulnerable. He had to steal the election in 2008 against a weak candidate in a blue state that was going goo goo for their new deity, Barack Obama. If the GOP runs a good candidate who sticks to the issues, Franken will be going back to Hollywood.
New Hampshire. New Hampshire has gone purple due to widespread voter fraud. Fraudsters from Vermont, Maine, Massachusetts and elsewhere pour in on election day where they take advantage of same day registration (after voting in their home states earlier in the day.) As well, students who cast absentee ballots in their home state ate recruited to vote in New Hampshire. I used to like Jeanne Shaheen but the NH Dems are as corrupt as the Chicago machine.
This is an uphill battle but it is well worth waging.
New Jersey. I am not a big Christie fan but I think he could beat Booker. This assumes that Christie wins his gubernatorial election and then decides help his party. More likely, he will want to be Corey's special buddy.
New Mexico. Run Gary Johnson, the two-time governor. He could win but the GOP establishment would rather lose to Dems than embrace a Libertarian.
Outside chances:
Delaware
Hawaii
Massachusetts
Oregon
Delaware. If the GOP runs O'Donnell, Chris Coons will be re-elected. Anyone else has a fighting chance.
Hawaii. If Charles Djou runs, this seat is in play.
Massachusetts. Markey is vulnerable. The problem is the GOP has no bench in this state. Their strongest candidate, Charlie Baker, will be running for governor. Gabriel Gomez was a joke of a candidate in the special election--so much so that Boston talk radio middleweight Michael Graham refused to mention him by name--but he was able to keep it close.
Oregon. Jeff Merkley is not a particularly strong candidate. But like Delaware, Hawaii and Massachusetts, the GOP has no bench.
This is do or die for Priebus. He blew 2012 but now he is given another chance. Let's hope he makes the most of it.
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