I read "The Fourth Turning" a few years back and since then I have listened to several Neil Howe interviews and other discussions on the subject that did not include Mr. Howe. At times, Howe clarified, other times he speculated, and other times he put a finer point on a pointed topic.
I scratched the surface of other historical cycles, one being the lifespan of fiat currencies. If this pajama historian was more committed to academic rigor, he would be able to source all of his comments. I can't tell you where this number originates but I was told the average life of a fiat currency is 52 years. That sounds right. We might not be able to verify the number but we know that fiat currency always arrives with an expiration date.
On August 15, 1971, President Nixon via executive order, ended the dollar convertibility to gold, securing a legacy of significance if not outright malevolence. All of history, all of the world, and all of life can be viewed through the lens of currency. The strength of currency does not determine everything but it influences everything. Everything.
Birth rates, literacy rates, the number of women in the workforce, the viability of organized religion, short-term vs. long-term investment strategies, the likelihood of war, the pronounced skewing of income and wealth, national debt, the clout of the managerial class, the zeitgeist...all things shaped by the strength or weakness of a currency.
A lot of people are saying that 2024 is the most important election in history. No, that would be 2020. It was then that we learned that the deep state is deeper than we had imagined and that they are more vicious than we could imagine. It was a gut punch, a shock to witness a presidential election stolen in plain view. As stunning as the steal was, it did not prepare us for the follow-up mass censorship, mass cancellation, intimidation, harassment, lawfare, contrived litigation, and even incarceration inflicted upon those who investigated or reported or protested the steal. Oh and let's not forget the assassination attempts and the coordinated legal attacks directed against the unrepented denier-in-chief.
The deep state is brazen. Cheating has a way of escalating and even as the veil is lifted, the political thugs practice their craft for all to see. Just one example: when the voter rolls of a state or municipality exceed the adult population of a city or state, corruption has crept in. Dems are openly committing election fraud with no fear of consequence.
Had the deep state not stolen the 2020 election, would they be any worse off? Trump seemed to get played at every turn. Pence, Sessions, Barr, Wray. The shadow government had binders and binders of Quislings and shills and moles. So much for that business savvy that allowed DJT to look into a man's eye and read his character like Don Corleone. A second Trump term would have probably seen more administrative hobbling and we would be left to celebrate the professed effort more than the result. An echo of the Reagan years.
Leftists always overplay their hand. Why? Because they are Leftists. They will first try to inflate Harris's vote count and bury Trump votes. Should that fail they will disrupt the voting in Red areas. They will use every technique they used in 2020 and showcase some new tactics as well.
I strongly believe that if we had an honest election, Trump would win in proportion to the size of crowds at their respective rallies. An epic landslide. A Red Tsunami. Sadly, clean elections are long ago and far away.
Should election theft fail, Judge Merchan will send Trump to jail to better facilitate assassination. And there will be other assassination attempts as well. There will be efforts to decertify the election. The tail might wag the dog. It will not be business as usual.
Civil strife is preceded by enhanced bureaucracy and unmanageable government debt which are preceded by a failed currency. We have those things by the boatload. To paraphrase Rudyard Lynch, we are in a doctor's waiting room anticipating test results, and who knows what else? These things only happen to people of other times and other places. Probability? Inevitability? Fate?
Tomorrow's presidential election might not matter at all.