Sunday, February 7, 2016

New Hampshire Even Money Propositions

I'm not taking action, so don't bother calling.

Trump over/under 29 %

Cruz over/under 20 %

Rubio over/under 20 %

The top three candidates cumulative vote over/under 71 %

Sanders over/under 56 %

Exactly One Candidate Suspends his/her campaign Tuesday before 11:59 PM EST 50/50

Candidates suspend campaign by Wednesday 11:59 PM EST, over/under (including Artis Gilmore) 3

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I have been reading the pundits, the polls and the British betting sites all with a grain of salt and the weather reports with even more salt (they understated the last storm. 3-5 inches turned into a foot.) I stand by my earlier predictions:

1. Trump will not perform as well as the polls indicate.

2. Cruz will perform better than the polls indicate.

3. Sanders will not perform as well as polls indicate. Which means that Hillary will overperform but will probably lose. Given where she was a year ago it seems strange that Hillary will be celebrating a close second in a match race to the mandatory retirement poster child

I said before that Rubio is the wild card. The Gang of 8 has taken on a different meaning in the GOP Primaries. It's everyone against Marco and if he can survive the bleeding, look out front runners.


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