Now, I’m starting to feel a sense of deja vu when talking with Democrats. Anytime 2010 comes up in a conversation, it is quickly dismissed as an aberration. Most Democrats can’t even imagine another election cycle where President Barack Obama is as unpopular and as much of a drag on Democrats as he was in his first midterm.He goes on to cite a recent Quinnipiac poll that shows Colorado Senator Mark Udall pulling no more than 45% against 4 unknown Republicans and states that there are at least 10 other Democratic Senate seats that are structurally more vulnerable than Colorado. Gonzales concludes that it's doubtful that Republicans can pick up another 63 House seats in 2014 but that is hardly necessary.
But I’m not sure we can rule out the possibility that next November will be a very bad year for Democrats.
The 2010 blowout was was attributed to Obama's lack of popularity but in 2014 the issue of personal culpability of many Senate and Congressional Democrats in misleading the public about being able to keep their health insurance can be documented on YouTube videos. This blog has posted several Democratic Senators making that pledge. All of this comes as the latest Rasmussen poll gives the Republicans a 5 point edge in the generic congressional poll which boost the GOP's margin to 2.5 in the RCP average of polls. 2014 could be a very bad year.