What is mildly embarrassing for Senator Mitch McConnell may turn into a full blown catastrophe for Democrats. I am referring to the bugging of McConnell's Louisville office.
In a radio interview with Mike Huckabee, McConnell campaign aide Jesse Benton said: "The FBI is taking this very seriously. They were at our office for about an hour today. They tell us that they're running down some leads."
"We're very glad that the FBI is so quick to address this … we're going to make sure that this is prosecuted to the full extent of the law," Benton said.
The upshot of the strategy session was how to attacked air-head Ashley Judd should she win the Democratic nomination for the Senate seat currently held by McConnell. They were reading from her published autobiography-not her personal diary-a fact that seems lost on the mainstream media. Since the bugged meeting Judd has taken her herself out of the race and the Democrats seem to be pinning the hopes on Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes. If the FBI finds Democrats involved in the bugging incident it could be lights out in Kentucky and maybe nationally. The Democrats see an opportunity because the senior senator's polling number hint at vulnerability but consider a few fact prior to tweeting Mitch's political obit.
In spite of the fact it has a popular Democratic governor in Steve Beshear Kentucky has steadily drifted Republican for the last 30 years. The last Democratic Presidential candidate to win a majority of the popular vote in Kentucky was Jimmy Carter in 1976. He lost it 4 years later. Al Gore lost by 16 points and Bill Clinton carried the state twice with less than 50% of the vote.
Of 6 congressional districts the Democrats control 1. Prior to the last election they held 2 but Obama, who lost 42% of the primary vote to "uncommitted", could not help the grandson of legendary Kentucky Governor Happy Chandler hang on to his 6th district seat that he had held since 2004.
The Democrats have not won a senate race in Kentucky since Wendell Ford was re-elected in 1992.
A history of the Second Congressional District illustrates Kentucky's drift to the Republican camp. The district was represented by William Natcher from 1953 until his death in 1994. The Republicans had never held the seat. Ron Lewis, who is an ordained Baptist minister and who owned and operated a religious bookstore, Alpha and Omega Bookstore in Elizabethtown was served up as "the sacrificial goat" to carry the Republican banner in a district they had never won. In the special election he won 55% of the vote. In the next regular election he faced the mayor of Owensboro, David Adkisson, thought to be a rising star in the Democratic party. So sure of himself, Adkisson made known his intention to run just days after the special election. Lewis won 60% of the vote and held the seat until his retirement in 2009. Brett Guthrie now holds what is considered a safe Republican seat.
McConnell's polling problems are probably more from the right than the left. If Kentuckians don't think he is conservative enough they are not apt to vote Democratic.